Mega office deals helped drive foreign investment in local real estate to its highest level since 2007. About $8.85 billion from overseas has been pumped into Singapore property so far this year - the best result since the $15.27 billion outlay in 2007, before the global financial crisis hit. Analysts say the pace of foreign investment could well carry over into next year, depending on how the economy fares.
The influx of foreign funds is due partly to the view of Singapore as a safer investment destination in a world roiled by uncertainties. It could be due to global market volatility as a result of Brexit and the oil and gas sector. Foreign investors see Singapore as a defensive play where investment is fairly protected due to the strength of the Singdollar.
The data, which records investment deals over $10 million in value, shows foreign expenditure at $8.85 billion, accounting for 41.7 per cent of total property spending so far this year. That was up by 62 per cent from foreign investment sales of about $5.46 billion last year.
It was also markedly higher than the foreign investment volume of $4.67 billion in 2014. The office sector drew the most interest - 76.5 per cent or about $6.77 billion of the foreign capital spent so far in 2016. Over the next three, four years, there is very little new office space being completed. The more forward-looking investors are looking at that period of little supply, which will then result in rental growth.
Investors typically look towards 2020, when the market is projected to pick up. A huge chunk of foreign investment went into the Asia Square Tower One deal in June, when the Qatar Investment Authority stumped up nearly $3.4 billion for the trophy asset in Marina Bay.
Malaysian developer IOI Properties Group's unit, Wealthy Link, smashed public land sales tender records with its $2.57 billion bid last month for a white site in Central Boulevard, also in Marina Bay. Foreign investors have also been active in the residential sector, notably Chinese developer Qingjian Realty's $638 million purchase of Shunfu Ville via a collective sale in May. It also won the tender for a mixed development site in Bukit Batok West for $301 million in the same month.
Those deals led to Qatar, Malaysia and China being the top three sources of foreign investment in real estate here so far this year. Slower economic growth and efforts to cool the property market have weighed on the real estate sector in recent years. During this period, other major markets across Asia have experienced a strong market upturn, making Singapore an increasingly attractive investment proposition on a relative basis.
Foreign investment volume in 2017 could keep pace with this year's activity, but the recent run-up in long-term interest rates will see investors cautiously pricing opportunities. The market next year could get a boost from Jurong Point mall which is on the market, and Asia Square Tower Two - for which its owner BlackRock is said to be sussing out interest from potential buyers.
Adapted from: The Straits Times, 4 December 2016